IMD – Current Weather Status and Extended range Forecast for next two weeks (5-18 Sept, 2024

IMD Weather Forecast: September 5 to 18, 2024

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has released its weather forecast for the period from September 5 to 18, 2024. This forecast includes detailed predictions for rainfall, weather systems, and potential impacts across various regions of India.

Overview of Recent Weather Conditions

The period leading up to September 5 witnessed significant weather events:

• Gujarat: Extreme heavy rainfall from August 28 to 30 caused severe flooding, intensified by Cyclonic Storm ASNA.
• Andhra Pradesh and Telangana: Exceptionally heavy rainfall occurred from September 1, leading to severe floods in some regions.
• Monsoon Trough Position: The monsoon trough remained south of its normal position, affecting rainfall distribution.

Forecast for September 5 to 11, 2024

Weather Systems:

• Low-Pressure Area: Formed over west-central and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal, expected to move northwards and intensify into a depression.
• Cyclonic Circulation: Over northwest Uttar Pradesh and adjoining Haryana, tilting southwestwards.

Regional Forecasts:

• West & Central India:
  • September 5: Isolated very heavy rainfall in Madhya Maharashtra, Gujarat Region, and Konkan & Goa.
  • September 6-10: Isolated heavy rainfall expected in Chhattisgarh, Madhya Maharashtra, Konkan & Goa, Saurashtra & Kutch, Gujarat Region, Madhya Pradesh, and Vidarbha.
• South Peninsular India:
  • September 5: Isolated very heavy rainfall in Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam.
  • September 6-11: Isolated heavy rainfall over Kerala, Mahe, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, Telangana, and Coastal Karnataka.
• East & Northeast India:
  • September 5: Isolated very heavy rainfall in Arunachal Pradesh.
  • September 7-11: Heavy rainfall expected over Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Odisha, and Bihar.
• Northwest India:
  • September 5-7: Isolated very heavy rainfall in Uttarakhand and East Rajasthan.
  • September 5-11: Heavy rainfall expected in West Uttar Pradesh, East Uttar Pradesh, and West Rajasthan.

Impact Expected:

• Localized flooding and water logging in urban areas.
• Occasional reduction in visibility and traffic disruption.
• Minor damage to kutcha roads and vulnerable structures.
• Possibility of localized landslides and damage to standing crops.

Action Suggested:

• Check traffic conditions before travel.
• Follow traffic advisories and avoid waterlogged areas.
• Avoid staying in vulnerable structures.

Forecast for September 12 to 18, 2024

Weather Systems:

• Monsoon Trough: Likely to remain active and near or south of its normal position.
• Off-shore Trough: Expected to persist along the west coast.

Regional Forecasts:

• Northwest & Central India:
  • Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls expected, particularly in Haryana, Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, and Madhya Pradesh.
• East & Northeast India:
  • Isolated heavy falls expected, with overall near-normal rainfall.
• South Peninsular India:
  • Rainfall is likely to be below normal.

Impact Expected:

• Moderate flash flood risk in some areas.
• Similar impacts as the first week, including localized flooding and disruption in major cities.

Action Suggested:

• Continue monitoring traffic advisories.
• Avoid vulnerable areas and structures.

Agromet Advisories:

• Drain excess water from fields in affected areas.
• Postpone sowing of certain crops and provide mechanical support to horticultural crops where necessary.

Stay updated with local weather advisories and plan accordingly to mitigate the impact of these weather conditions.

Click here to read the full IMD Weather forecast press release