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DA from January 2015 will be 113% as AICPI-IW for November 2014, remains at 253 for the 4th consecutive month
All India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (AICPI-IW) is at 253 for the past 4 months from August 2014 to November 2014.
This trend is in line with Scenario 1 discussed in our earlier article on estimation of Central Government Employees DA from January 2015. While we have Actual AICPI for November 2014 now, which is exactly the same as in Scenario 1, even for increase of this index up to 262 in December 2014, DA from January 2015 will be 113%
Scenario 2 and Scenario 3 discussed in the previous article are unlikely as those were estimated on the basis of decreased and increased AICPI-IW respectively for the month of November 2014
Consequently, DA from January 2015 applicable to central government employees is estimated to be 113 %
Press release by Labour Bureau, for All India Consumer Price Index – Industrial Workers, November 2014
No. 5/1/2014- CPIGOVERNMENT OF INDIAMINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENTLABOUR BUREAU‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004DATED: the 31st December, 2014Press Release
Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-1W) – November, 2014The All-India CPI-1W for November, 2014 remained stationary at 253 (two hundred and fifty three). On l-month percentage change, it remained static between October, 2014 and November, 2014 when compared with the rise of 0.83 per cent between the same two months a year ago.The largest upward pressure to the change in current index came from Miscellaneous group contributing (+) 0.17 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Wheat, Rice, Moong Dal, Masur Dal, Arhar Dal, Eggs (Hen), Goat Meat, Milk (Cow), Onion, Tea (Readymade), Private Tution Fee, Flower/F lower Garlands, Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was restricted to some extent by Ginger, Chillies green, Vegetable items, Sugar, Petrol, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.
The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-1W stood at 4.12 per cent for November, 2014 as compared to 4.98 per cent for the previous month and 11.47 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 2.56 per cent against 4.48 per cent of the previous month and 16.17 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.At centre level, Madurai reported an increase of 12 points followed by Chennai (11 points), Tiruchirapally (7 points), Coonoor (6 points), Salem and Coimbatore (5 points each) and Bangluru (4 points). Among others, 3 points rise was observed in 3 centres, 2 points in 7 centres and 1 point in 9 centres. On the contrary, Srinagar recorded a decrease of 6 points and Ghaziabad (5 points). Among others, 4 points fall was registered in 2 centres, 3 points in 6 centres, 2 points in 12 centres and 1 point in 19 centres. Rest of the 11 centres’ indices remained stationary.The indices of 38 centres are above and other 39 centres’ indices are below national average. The index of Bhopal centre remained at par with all-India index.The next index of CPI-1W for the month of December, 2014 will be released on Friday, 30 January, 2015. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureau. gov. in.